TradingWeather
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record globally?
Volume$2.9k
Liquidity$7.1k
Trades15
Closes in92 days
Price history
Probability = price of one share in USDCYesNo
OutcomePrice
Resolution
Reality.eth·bonds in USDCTradingNow
Closesin 92 days
Answerafter close
Challenge0d window
Resolved
- Answer window after close
- 0 days
- Challenge window per answer
- 0 days
- Opening bond (est.)
- 71 USDC
- Each challenge
- at least 2× the last bond
- Arbitration possible from
- 571 USDC bond
- Answers first
- 0x2a07…f21a
- Arbitrator
- Fenyx team
Activity
Latest trades| Trade | Shares | Price | USDC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||
Rules
Resolves Yes if Copernicus (C3S) declares 2026 the warmest calendar year in its ERA5 record.
- Oracle
- 0x2a07…f21a
- Closes
- 15 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC
- Answer window / challenge window
- 0 days / 0 days
- Creator
- 0x37fd…dec4
- Arbitrator
- Fenyx team (default)
- Fees
- 2.0% LP·0.0% creator·0% protocol
- Created
- 14 Oct 2026, 18:21 UTC
- Market id
- #19·pool