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  1. 46 daysWill ETH be at or above $2,750 at 00:00 UTC on 30 Nov 2026?No57¢
  2. 55 daysFed funds target upper bound after the December 2026 FOMC meeting?3.50%46¢
  3. 56 daysWill US CPI inflation (YoY) for November 2026 be 3.0% or higher?No61¢
  4. 77 daysWill DOT be at or above $2 at 00:00 UTC on 31 Dec 2026?No82¢
  5. 77 daysWill BTC be at or above $100,000 at 00:00 UTC on 31 Dec 2026?No66¢
  6. 92 daysWill 2026 be the hottest year on record globally?No62¢
  7. 150 daysWhich film wins Best Picture at the 2027 Academy Awards?Contender D23¢
  8. 157 daysWho wins the 2027 Six Nations Championship?Ireland32¢
  9. 167 daysWill Polkadot Hub pass 1 million active EVM accounts by 31 March 2027?No57¢
  10. 212 daysWhich country wins Eurovision 2027?Ukraine45¢
  11. 229 daysWho wins the 2027 NBA Finals?Thunder21¢
  12. 258 daysWhen does JAM go live on Polkadot mainnet?H1 202728¢

Fenyx: Forecast markets on Base

Real Time

  1. Economics

    Fed funds target upper bound after the December 2026 FOMC meeting?

    3.50% steady at 46¢ on $15k volume.

    3.50%46¢0.0
    3.75%33¢0.0
    +2 more outcomes
  2. Crypto

    Will DOT be at or above $2 at 00:00 UTC on 31 Dec 2026?

    No steady at 82¢ on $7.7k volume.

    No82¢0.0
    Yes18¢0.0
  3. Polkadot

    Will Polkadot Hub pass 1 million active EVM accounts by 31 March 2027?

    No steady at 57¢ on $5.0k volume.

    No57¢0.0
    Yes43¢0.0
  4. Crypto

    Will ETH be at or above $2,750 at 00:00 UTC on 30 Nov 2026?

    No steady at 57¢ on $4.0k volume.

    No57¢0.0
    Yes43¢0.0

Most Popular

  1. Weather

    Will 2026 be the hottest year on record globally?

    No steady at 62¢ on $2.9k volume.

    No62¢0.0
    Yes38¢0.0
  2. Sports

    Who wins the 2027 Six Nations Championship?

    Ireland steady at 32¢ on $1.7k volume.

    Ireland32¢0.0
    France25¢0.0
    +4 more outcomes
  3. Culture

    Which country wins Eurovision 2027?

    Ukraine steady at 45¢ on $657 volume.

    Ukraine45¢0.0
    Other18¢0.0
    +3 more outcomes
  4. Economics

    Will US CPI inflation (YoY) for November 2026 be 3.0% or higher?

    No steady at 61¢ on $564 volume.

    No61¢0.0
    Yes39¢0.0
  5. Polkadot

    When does JAM go live on Polkadot mainnet?

    H1 2027 steady at 28¢ on $460 volume.

    H1 202728¢0.0
    2028 or later26¢0.0
    +2 more outcomes
  6. Sports

    Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?

    Thunder steady at 21¢ on $96 volume.

    Thunder21¢0.0
    Timberwolves16¢0.0
    +6 more outcomes
  7. Culture

    Which film wins Best Picture at the 2027 Academy Awards?

    Contender D steady at 23¢ on $19 volume.

    Contender D23¢0.0
    Contender C20¢0.0
    +3 more outcomes
  8. Polkadot

    Will Polkadot Hub DeFi TVL exceed $500M at the end of Q3 2026?

    Bonds hit the arbitration threshold. The arbitrator will rule.

    Yes50¢
    No50¢
  9. Sports

    Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

    Answered Kylian Mbappé after 2 rounds of bonds. Final in 2d 23h unless challenged.

    Lamine Yamal40¢
    Kylian Mbappé30¢
    +2 more outcomes
  10. Polkadot

    Will the OpenGov Hub fee-rebate referendum pass?

    Answered Yes after 1 rounds of bonds. Final in 47h 09m unless challenged.

    Yes50¢
    No50¢
  11. Weather

    Will it rain at London Heathrow on 14 Oct 2026?

    Trading has closed. Waiting for the first answer on Reality.eth.

    Yes50¢
    No50¢
  12. Crypto

    Will ETH be at or above $2,450 at 2026-10-14 18:40 UTC?

    Answered Yes after 1 rounds of bonds. Final in 11h 00m unless challenged.

    No50¢
    Yes50¢
  13. Crypto

    Will DOT be at or above $1.1 at 2026-10-14 18:40 UTC?

    Trading has closed. Waiting for the first answer on Reality.eth.

    No50¢
    Yes50¢
  14. Crypto

    Will BTC be at or above $81,500 at 2026-10-14 18:40 UTC?

    Trading has closed. Waiting for the first answer on Reality.eth.

    No50¢
    Yes50¢
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