ArbitrationPolkadot
Will Polkadot Hub DeFi TVL exceed $500M at the end of Q3 2026?
Volume$0
Liquidity$5.0k
Trades0
Closed14 Oct 2026, 18:40 UTC
Price history
Probability = price of one share in USDCYesNo
OutcomePrice
Yes50¢
No50¢
Resolution
Reality.eth·bonds in USDCTrading14 Oct
Closes14 Oct
Answer50 USDC
ArbitrationSafe ruling
Resolved
Answer history
- No ·0x2a07…f21a·2h 30m ago50 USDC
- Yes ·0x1b2f…22c1·2h 30m ago100 USDC
- No ·0x2a07…f21a·2h 30m ago200 USDC
- Yes ·0x1b2f…22c1·2h 30m ago (current answer)400 USDC
Bond toward arbitration threshold400 USDC / 400 USDC
Arbitration requested. The bond reached 400 USDC, so a participant paid the 50 USDC fee and asked the arbitrator (0x19e2…559c) to rule. Answering is frozen until the ruling.
Activity
Latest trades| Trade | Shares | Price | USDC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||
Rules
Resolves Yes if DefiLlama shows Polkadot Hub TVL above $500M on 30 Sep 2026 23:59 UTC.
- Oracle
- 0x2a07…f21a
- Closes
- 14 Oct 2026, 18:40 UTC
- Answer window / challenge window
- 0 days / 2 days
- Creator
- 0xb975…5a63
- Arbitrator
- 0x19e2…559c
- Fees
- 2.0% LP·0.0% creator·0% protocol
- Created
- 14 Oct 2026, 18:21 UTC
- Market id
- #6·pool